Miami Standard (Nashville, TN) – The likelihood of severe storms in Southern Kentucky and Middle Tennessee on Sunday evening through Monday morning is becoming more certain. The weather will be extremely erratic and favorable for powerful storms.

Nearly all of Middle Tennessee and Southern Kentucky are under an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) for severe weather from Sunday through Monday at 7 a.m., according to the Storm Prediction Center’s most recent report.

A few counties in the extreme eastern part of Middle Tennessee are classified as Slightly Risk (level 2/5). On a regional scale, the dangers extend from the Gulf Coast states to the Great Lakes.

The latest that storms could affect us would be approximately 10 p.m. to as late as 6 a.m. on Monday. We must get ready for the possibility of an overnight storm.

This will result in all storm risks based on the storm ingredients that are now accessible (enough moisture, severe heating/instability, approaching cold front, and wind shear).

Our first round of high-resolution model data is arriving. No severe weather is predicted for Sunday morning, although there may be a few showers and storms close to the warm front. Rain continues to sweep eastward throughout the early afternoon.

It was a warm and humid Sunday afternoon with sunshine. The focus will shift to Sunday night into Monday morning, although it is impossible to rule out a stray storm for Sunday afternoon or early evening.

A line of powerful storms will then proceed into Kentucky and western Tennessee after developing close to the Ohio and Mississippi Rivers. Storms are expected to affect Southern Kentucky and Middle Tennessee in the late evening and overnight. As the storms pass, we’ll need to keep an eye out for any severe weather threats.

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