Contrary to popular belief, the stolen base isn’t dead in today’s baseball. You just have to maintain a high percentage.
The Cardinals are one of those running teams. Sure, it’s not the 1985 Redbirds, who stole like mad and homered about twice a week. But the 2022 Cardinals lead the majors with 26 swipes and they’ve been caught just three times.
Harrison Bader and Tommy Edman are two early winners as we examine the first month of the Oliver Marmol regime. Bader’s slash isn’t the prettiest (.239/.319/.348), but his defense keeps him in the lineup and his category juice (two homers, seven steals) keeps him fantasy relevant.
Edman was one of my preseason fades, as I feared he wouldn’t bat leadoff in 2022. He started the year buried in the lineup, but it didn’t last — he started fast while others didn’t. With that in mind, he’s been parked at the leadoff spot for two weeks, rocking a .292/.393/.458 line. He’s scored 18 runs, knocked three homers, stolen seven bags in eight attempts.
Tommy Edman’s leadoff spot and his willingness to run make him fantasy relevant. (Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)
It’s encouraging to see so many winning teams aggressively running. It doesn’t have to be a discarded strategy that only losing teams embrace. The Cardinals, Rays, Brewers and Angels are your four top steal teams — and they’re all decent ball clubs. The Yankees and Giants are among four teams tied for fifth in this category.
Of course, not all teams are running
On the flip side, the Tigers and Red Sox aren’t running much (you can’t steal first base) and they’re not running well either. Both teams have four steals in eight attempts. The Rockies (5-for-10) and Cubs (7-for-14) are both .500 teams on the bases, and somehow the Twins have been caught eight times versus seven successful attempts.
Maybe it’s a good thing that Byron Buxton has just one steal attempt. Perhaps player and team realize that he’s more valuable to the club on the field, even if the running gets iced. Maybe these are his Mike Trout years.
My friend Patrick Davitt recently compared Buxton to Eric Davis, and I love that angle. Power, speed, defense, the idea that you’re watching one of baseball’s most exciting players at all times. But these guys can only help us on the field. Rather than dreaming about a 40-40 season for Buxton, I’m dreaming of a 40-8 season — with 150 games played.
I don’t ask for much. Can you give me this one, baseball gods?
The Doval leash gets longer
As long as I’m asking for baseball god favoritism, perhaps I should hit the Giants bullpen. Is Camilo Doval capable of running away with this closer job? He’s recorded five handshakes against two for Jake McGee, and McGee was roughed up Monday. At 35, perhaps McGee can’t overpower hitters any longer. His strikeout rate is a mess, not to mention an ERA over 9 and a WHIP just under 2. Even as the batted-ball data smooths out, he looks like an ordinary pitcher.
Doval has trouble throwing strikes at times (five unintentional walks over 12.2 innings), but he also misses plenty of bats (18 punchouts). A 2.84 ERA is in line with his peripherals. The Giants should be a playoff team, and there will be 40 or more saves to go around. I’m bullish on Doval moving forward.
When you play in a mixed league, the idea is to churn the bottom of your roster, see if you can get lucky with a pickup or two. You don’t need a high hit rate on these pickups; if you find a few every month that stick, you’re doing well. When we see plausible upside, we act.
Brandon Drury, come on down.
Drury is getting run all over the Cincinnati lineup card, and he’s off to a .284/.337/.593 start with six homers. His career resume doesn’t support this at all, unless you want to consider the .274 average and .376 slugging percentage he gave the Mets in 88 plate appearances last year. He was around a league-average offensive player back in 2016, his rookie year with the Diamondbacks.
Drury qualifies at three Yahoo positions (second, third, outfield) and he’s slotted second in six of the last seven Cincinnati games. His hard-hit metrics support his lofty average and slugging. Given how difficult it is to find useful offense in 2022, I’m not thumbing my nose at this story. Drury can hang out on my mixed-league rosters for a while, and we’ll see where it goes.
I’ve heard that Phil would like LeBron traded. I’ve just heard that, but I’ve got nothing to back that up. No on-the-record stuff to back that up.
I wouldn’t assume Jackson actually wants the Lakers to trade LeBron. This strikes me as the type of rumor that spreads more because it’s juicy than accurate. It’s so easy to know Jackson’s and LeBron’s past, make an assumption and share it. Even Plaschke, while relaying what he has heard, expresses doubts.
Will Kyle Busch drive Toyotas for Joe Gibbs Racing next season?
That answer remains unknown as Busch and Gibbs team officials continue discussions about renewing Busch’s contract for 2023. One key player in the situation—Toyota Racing Development—is working diligently to keep the Gibbs-Busch partnership active.
“One driver has accounted for 36 percent of our total wins across all three series, and you know who that driver is,” TRD president David Wilson said Tuesday. “Any scenario that doesn’t have Kyle Busch retiring from Joe Gibbs Racing and Toyota would be a monstrous disappointment for us and Coach Gibbs and the family.”
Photo credit: Icon Sportswire – Getty Images
Busch, who has driven for Gibbs since 2008 and won Cup championships for Toyota in 2015 and 2019, has been open in recent weeks in criticizing the status of negotiations with Gibbs, implying that the relationship could be dissolved at the end of the season.
Wilson said the biggest problem in the situation is the decision by long-time Gibbs/Busch partner M&Ms/Mars, one of the sport’s most visible sponsors, to leave NASCAR at the end of the year.
“It caught us all by surprise,” Wilson said. “The reality is Joe Gibbs can’t afford to pay Kyle Busch. That comes from corporate sponsorship. Every driver’s salary comes from whatever is on that race car on Sunday. We remain optimistic. We’re working on a number of different solutions harder than we ever have before.”
Wilson on Le Mans, Fourth Manufacturer
• Wilson commented on the Busch situation during a Tuesday press conference in which he also criticized NASCAR’s decision to allow Hendrick Motorsports extra testing time for its Chevrolets in connection with next season’s planned entry in the 24 Hours of Le Mans.
“I had zero notice,” Wilson said. “Candidly, it was a little disappointing as a stockholder and partner to NASCAR that neither Ford nor us was alerted. Within minutes I had dialogues with Steve Phelps and Steve O’Donnell and Jim France (NASCAR officials) and expressed our concerns and our displeasure. The good news is they have all responded and they hear us, and we have between ourselves and Ford given them some shared thoughts as of how this can be done in a manner that’s reasonably fair.”
• Wilson also said he favors NASCAR’s aggressive pursuit of a new car manufacturer to join Toyota, Ford and Chevrolet and emphasized that Toyota has been involved in discussions with potential newcomers. “We’re trying to give them some lessons learned,” he said. “We’re not trying to sell them. Our principal goal is to educate them as to what is the role of a manufacturer in NASCAR.”
Defending Luka Dončić will be far from a simple task for the Warriors during the Western Conference finals against the Dallas Mavericks.
But in Klay Thompson’s world, nothing is ever too complicated.
Without an ounce of worry or stress on his face, Thompson kept it straightforward on Tuesday while telling reporters what the key to stopping Dončić will be.
“The key to defending this team with Luka,” Thompson pondered. “I would say playing your hardest and trusting your teammates are the two keys.”
The Golden State guard confidently smiled and nodded his head as he gave his answer, clearly proud of the thoughtful response.
It’s safe to say the Warriors have heeded Thompson’s advice throughout the regular season and well into the NBA playoffs as they enter the conference finals for the sixth time in eight years.
Thompson himself had to trust in his teammates while he was injured and out for 31 months, displaying faith that they would perform in his stead while recovering and have his back upon his return to the court in January. Plus, there are countless other Warriors who persevered through injuries this season, like Draymond Green, Andre Iguodala and Steph Curry, to name a few.
And Golden State has certainly played its hardest throughout the postseason, as evidenced by a dramatic Western Conference semifinal round and historic performances by multiple players on both sides of the court in 11 games so far.
Dončić will offer an entirely new challenge beginning with Game 1 of the West finals at Chase Center on Wednesday, but it’s one that can be stopped with a splash of team chemistry and talent.
The Warriors have a veteran core who have been here before and a group of eager, young players excited for the moment — the perfect combination of trust and determination that could prove fatal to Dončić and the Mavericks’ playoff hopes.